Louisiana Tech vs Fresno State 11/5/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Louisiana Tech winning 45% of simulations, and Fresno State 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Louisiana Tech commits fewer turnovers in 52% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Fresno State wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lennon Creer is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Robbie Rouse is averaging 120 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FREST -4

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